Challenger Jinan
Thursday, 15 October 2026
Marin Cilic vs Yosuke Watanuki – Challenger Jinan, 15 Oct 2026
Marin Cilic Ranked No. 80
06:30
Thu 15 Oct · not before 06:30
Yosuke Watanuki Ranked No. 406
SurfaceHard
FormatBest of 3
DrawSingles
Scheduled15 Oct · 06:30 BST
TourCHALLENGER
SportsLife forecast
Win probability
Our pick
86%
Marin Cilic
86%
Marin Cilic
14%
Yosuke Watanuki
86%
14%
Our pick Marin Cilic High confidence
- Cilic is ranked 80, far above Watanuki at 406
- Cilic has a much higher Elo of 1789 vs 1526
- Cilic is 9-9 on hard this season while Watanuki is 0-1
Estimated by the SportsLife model from the players' rankings, season records, surface results, Elo ratings and tie-break and deciding-set rates. Not betting advice.
Players
MC
Marin Cilic
Croatia · ATP- Ranking
- #80 (↓)
- Ranking points
- 741
- Age
- 38 (28 Sep 1988)
- Plays
- Right-handed
- Career high
- #3
- 2026 win–loss
- 14–16
- On hard
- 9–9
- 2026 titles
- 0
- Elo rating
- 1789 (hard 1750)
- Tie-breaks won
- 78%
- Deciding sets won
- 58%
- Matches on record
- 1110
YW
Yosuke Watanuki
Japan- Ranking
- #406 (↑)
- Ranking points
- 123
- Age
- 28 (12 Apr 1998)
- Plays
- Right-handed
- Career high
- #72
- 2026 win–loss
- 0–1
- On hard
- 0–1
- 2026 titles
- 0
- Elo rating
- 1526 (hard 1507)
- Tie-breaks won
- 77%
- Deciding sets won
- 54%
- Matches on record
- 427
SportsLife view
Ranking, Elo and form side by sideEdgeMarin Cilicahead in 5 of 5 measures
Marin CilicYosuke Watanuki
#80Ranking#406
1789Elo rating1526
1750Elo on hard1507
78%Tie-breaks won77%
58%Deciding sets won54%
Figures from the players' records: current ranking, Elo rating, this season's win rate, tie-breaks and deciding sets. No win-probability model is applied.