Challenger Jinan
Thursday, 15 October 2026
Dane Sweeny vs Shintaro Mochizuki – Challenger Jinan, 15 Oct 2026
Dane Sweeny Ranked No. 112
05:00
Thu 15 Oct · not before 05:00
Shintaro Mochizuki Ranked No. 123
SurfaceHard
FormatBest of 3
DrawSingles
Scheduled15 Oct · 05:00 BST
TourCHALLENGER
SportsLife forecast
Win probability
45%
Dane Sweeny
Our pick
55%
Shintaro Mochizuki
55%
Shintaro Mochizuki
45%
55%
Our pick Shintaro Mochizuki Low confidence
- Mochizuki has higher Elo 1568 vs 1508 and higher hard Elo 1499 vs 1462
- Sweeny has much better 2026 record at 17-10 vs Mochizuki 4-15
- Mochizuki won 80% of tiebreaks vs Sweeny 78%, but Sweeny won 64% of deciding sets vs 53%
Estimated by the SportsLife model from the players' rankings, season records, surface results, Elo ratings and tie-break and deciding-set rates. Not betting advice.
Players
DS
Dane Sweeny
Australia · ATP- Ranking
- #112 (↑)
- Ranking points
- 551
- Age
- 25 (12 Feb 2001)
- Plays
- Right-handed
- Career high
- #131
- 2026 win–loss
- 17–10
- On hard
- 17–10
- 2026 titles
- 1
- Elo rating
- 1508 (hard 1462)
- Tie-breaks won
- 78%
- Deciding sets won
- 64%
- Matches on record
- 402
SM
Shintaro Mochizuki
Japan- Ranking
- #123 (↑)
- Ranking points
- 491
- Age
- 23 (2 Jun 2003)
- Plays
- Right-handed, two-handed backhand
- Career high
- #92
- 2026 win–loss
- 4–15
- On hard
- 4–12
- 2026 titles
- 0
- Elo rating
- 1568 (hard 1499)
- Tie-breaks won
- 80%
- Deciding sets won
- 53%
- Matches on record
- 441
SportsLife view
Ranking, Elo and form side by sideDane SweenyShintaro Mochizuki
#112Ranking#123
1508Elo rating1568
1462Elo on hard1499
63%2026 win rate21%
78%Tie-breaks won80%
64%Deciding sets won53%
Figures from the players' records: current ranking, Elo rating, this season's win rate, tie-breaks and deciding sets. No win-probability model is applied.