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Challenger Jinan Thursday, 15 October 2026

Ilya Ivashka vs Liam Draxl – Challenger Jinan, 15 Oct 2026

Ilya Ivashka Ranked No. 237
08:00 Thu 15 Oct · not before 08:00
Liam Draxl Ranked No. 219
SurfaceHard FormatBest of 3 DrawSingles Scheduled15 Oct · 08:00 BST TourCHALLENGER

SportsLife forecast

Win probability
II 45% Ilya Ivashka
Our pick Liam Draxl 55% Liam Draxl

Our pick Liam Draxl Low confidence

  • Draxl is ranked 219, slightly ahead of Ivashka at 237
  • Draxl has a higher Elo on hard courts, 1578 to 1548
  • Ivashka has a better tiebreak record, 84 percent to 72 percent

Estimated by the SportsLife model from the players' rankings, season records, surface results, Elo ratings and tie-break and deciding-set rates. Not betting advice.

Players

II

Ilya Ivashka

International · ATP
Ranking
#237 (↑)
Ranking points
241
Age
32 (24 Feb 1994)
Plays
Right-handed
Career high
#40
2025 win–loss
12–10
On hard
11–9
2025 titles
1
Elo rating
1571 (hard 1548)
Tie-breaks won
84%
Deciding sets won
53%
Matches on record
595
LD

Liam Draxl

Canada · ATP
Ranking
#219 (↑)
Ranking points
266
Age
24 (5 Dec 2001)
Plays
Right-handed, two-handed backhand
Career high
#113
2026 win–loss
2–1
On hard
2–1
2026 titles
0
Elo rating
1606 (hard 1578)
Tie-breaks won
72%
Deciding sets won
60%
Matches on record
367

SportsLife view

Ranking, Elo and form side by side

EdgeLiam Draxlahead in 4 of 5 measures

Ilya IvashkaLiam Draxl
#237Ranking#219
1571Elo rating1606
1548Elo on hard1578
84%Tie-breaks won72%
53%Deciding sets won60%

Figures from the players' records: current ranking, Elo rating, this season's win rate, tie-breaks and deciding sets. No win-probability model is applied.