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Challenger Jinan Thursday, 15 October 2026

Alexander Shevchenko vs Jay Friend – Challenger Jinan, 15 Oct 2026

Alexander Shevchenko Ranked No. 111
05:00 Thu 15 Oct · not before 05:00
Jay Friend Ranked No. 260
SurfaceHard FormatBest of 3 DrawSingles Scheduled15 Oct · 05:00 BST TourCHALLENGER

SportsLife forecast

Win probability
Our pick Alexander Shevchenko 72% Alexander Shevchenko
Jay Friend 28% Jay Friend

Our pick Alexander Shevchenko Medium confidence

  • Shevchenko is ranked 111, well above Friend at 260
  • Shevchenko has a higher Elo of 1652 vs Friend's 1503
  • Shevchenko's hard-court Elo is 1609 vs Friend's 1480

Estimated by the SportsLife model from the players' rankings, season records, surface results, Elo ratings and tie-break and deciding-set rates. Not betting advice.

Players

AS

Alexander Shevchenko

Kazakhstan · ATP
Ranking
#111 (↑)
Ranking points
568
Age
25 (29 Nov 2000)
Plays
Right-handed
Career high
#45
2026 win–loss
15–16
On hard
11–10
2026 titles
0
Elo rating
1652 (hard 1609)
Tie-breaks won
78%
Deciding sets won
51%
Matches on record
486
JF

Jay Friend

Japan · ATP
Ranking
#260 (↑)
Ranking points
218
Age
22 (22 Dec 2003)
Plays
Right-handed, two-handed backhand
Career high
#401
2026 win–loss
24–14
On hard
24–14
2026 titles
0
Elo rating
1503 (hard 1480)
Tie-breaks won
74%
Deciding sets won
65%
Matches on record
70

SportsLife view

Ranking, Elo and form side by side

EdgeAlexander Shevchenkoahead in 4 of 6 measures

Alexander ShevchenkoJay Friend
#111Ranking#260
1652Elo rating1503
1609Elo on hard1480
48%2026 win rate63%
78%Tie-breaks won74%
51%Deciding sets won65%

Figures from the players' records: current ranking, Elo rating, this season's win rate, tie-breaks and deciding sets. No win-probability model is applied.