NHL Friday, 16 October 2026
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres 4-5 – NHL, 16 Oct 2026
Toronto Maple Leafs 17th place · GP 8 · W 3 · PTS 8
4–5
Final
Buffalo Sabres 14th place · GP 8 · W 4 · PTS 9
SportsLife forecast
Made before the match
49%
Buffalo Sabres
Away
51%
49%
Our pick Toronto Maple Leafs Low confidence Missed
- Both teams sit close in the table, Toronto 19th and Buffalo 21st, each with 7 points from 7 games
- Toronto form LWLWL and Buffalo form WLLWL are similarly mixed
- Toronto has home advantage at Scotiabank Arena, which slightly tips the balance
Estimated by the SportsLife model from the league table, recent form and results, last meetings and home advantage. Not betting advice.
Match stats
NHLToronto Maple LeafsBuffalo Sabres
30Shots on goal35
56%Face-off %44%
1/3Power play0/2
33%Power play %0%
11Penalty minutes13
25Hits21
10Blocked shots4
20Giveaways17
4Takeaways5
Skaters
NHLToronto Maple Leafs
| Player | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. MarchenkoR | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18:36 |
| J. TavaresC | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11:47 |
| J. RoslovicC | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 19:04 |
| D. RaddyshD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 27:09 |
| E. CowanR | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:39 |
| A. MatthewsC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:14 |
| C. SissonsC | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 17:49 |
| W. NylanderR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22:18 |
Buffalo Sabres
| Player | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. QuinnR | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:04 |
| Z. BensonL | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 21:18 |
| M. SamuelssonD | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 28:24 |
| N. OstlundC | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 21:39 |
| T. ThompsonC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 21:11 |
| O. PowerD | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 28:01 |
| D. GilbertD | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10:37 |
| Z. MetsaD | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 12:36 |
Scoring summary
NHL| Time | Team | Scorer | Assists | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 02:24 | TOR | A. Matthews | J. Roslovic | 1–0 |
| P1 03:35 | BUF | J. Quinn | Z. Benson, Z. Metsa | 1–1 |
| P1 13:10 | TOR | K. Marchenko (PP) | J. Tavares, D. Raddysh | 2–1 |
| P2 02:41 | BUF | J. Quinn | N. Ostlund, M. Samuelsson | 2–2 |
| P2 11:13 | TOR | K. Marchenko | J. Tavares | 3–2 |
| P2 16:51 | TOR | K. Marchenko | C. Sissons, E. Cowan | 4–2 |
| P3 10:05 | BUF | D. Gilbert | J. Quinn, Z. Benson | 4–3 |
| P3 12:16 | BUF | M. Samuelsson | T. Thompson | 4–4 |
| OT 03:14 | BUF | O. Power | J. Quinn, N. Ostlund | 4–5 |
Goaltenders
NHL| Goalie | Team | Saves | SV% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Bobrovsky | Toronto Maple Leafs | 30/35 | 0.857 | 63:14 |
| U. Luukkonen | Buffalo Sabres | 26/30 | 0.867 | 63:14 |
Three stars
NHL| # | Player | Team | Pos | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Marchenko | TOR | R | 3G 0A |
| 2 | J. Quinn | BUF | R | 2G 2A |
| 3 | O. Power | BUF | D | 1G 0A |
Form and recent results
Toronto Maple LeafsWLWLL
- L14 OctUtah Mammoth 5–4 Toronto Maple LeafsNHL
- W11 OctColorado Avalanche 3–6 Toronto Maple LeafsNHL
- L9 OctVegas Golden Knights 4–3 Toronto Maple LeafsNHL
- W7 OctToronto Maple Leafs 5–4 Nashville PredatorsNHL
- L4 OctToronto Maple Leafs 2–3 Ottawa SenatorsNHL
- W2 OctToronto Maple Leafs 5–3 Ottawa SenatorsNHL
Buffalo SabresLLWLW
Last meetings
- 17 Feb 2020Buffalo Sabres 5–2 Toronto Maple LeafsNHL
- 18 Dec 2019Toronto Maple Leafs 5–3 Buffalo SabresNHL
- 29 Nov 2019Buffalo Sabres 2–1 Toronto Maple LeafsNHL