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Challenger Jinan Monday, 12 October 2026

Jay Friend vs Alibek Kachmazov – Challenger Jinan, 12 Oct 2026

Jay Friend Ranked No. 260
03:00 Mon 12 Oct · not before 03:00
Alibek Kachmazov Ranked No. 525
SurfaceHard FormatBest of 3 DrawSingles Scheduled12 Oct · 03:00 BST TourCHALLENGER

SportsLife forecast

Win probability
Our pick Jay Friend 68% Jay Friend
AK 32% Alibek Kachmazov

Our pick Jay Friend Medium confidence

  • Jay Friend is ranked 260, much higher than Alibek Kachmazov at 525.
  • Friend has a 24-14 season record on hard, while Kachmazov is 16-18 on hard.
  • Friend has a higher Elo of 1503 and Elo on hard of 1480, with no Elo listed for Kachmazov.

Estimated by the SportsLife model from the players' rankings, season records, surface results, Elo ratings and tie-break and deciding-set rates. Not betting advice.

Players

JF

Jay Friend

Japan · ATP
Ranking
#260 (↑)
Ranking points
218
Age
22 (22 Dec 2003)
Plays
Right-handed, two-handed backhand
Career high
#401
2026 win–loss
24–14
On hard
24–14
2026 titles
0
Elo rating
1503 (hard 1480)
Tie-breaks won
74%
Deciding sets won
65%
Matches on record
70
AK

Alibek Kachmazov

International · ATP
Ranking
#525 (↓)
Ranking points
85
Age
24 (17 Aug 2002)
2025 win–loss
16–21
On hard
16–18
2025 titles
0

SportsLife view

Ranking, Elo and form side by side

EdgeJay Friendahead in 2 of 2 measures

Jay FriendAlibek Kachmazov
#260Ranking#525
63%2026 win rate43%

Figures from the players' records: current ranking, Elo rating, this season's win rate, tie-breaks and deciding sets. No win-probability model is applied.