Challenger Jinan
Monday, 12 October 2026
Ilya Ivashka vs Kaichi Uchida – Challenger Jinan, 12 Oct 2026
Ilya Ivashka Ranked No. 237
05:00
Mon 12 Oct · not before 05:00
Kaichi Uchida Ranked No. 386
SurfaceHard
FormatBest of 3
DrawSingles · qualifying
Scheduled12 Oct · 05:00 BST
TourCHALLENGER
SportsLife forecast
Win probability
Our pick
II
82%
Ilya Ivashka
18%
Kaichi Uchida
82%
18%
Our pick Ilya Ivashka High confidence
- Ivashka is ranked 237, much higher than Uchida at 386
- Ivashka has Elo 1571 on hard 1548, far above Uchida 1280 and 1259
- Ivashka season record 12-10 and hard 11-9, better than Uchida 10-27 and 10-22
Estimated by the SportsLife model from the players' rankings, season records, surface results, Elo ratings and tie-break and deciding-set rates. Not betting advice.
Players
II
Ilya Ivashka
International · ATP- Ranking
- #237 (↑)
- Ranking points
- 241
- Age
- 32 (24 Feb 1994)
- Plays
- Right-handed
- Career high
- #40
- 2025 win–loss
- 12–10
- On hard
- 11–9
- 2025 titles
- 1
- Elo rating
- 1571 (hard 1548)
- Tie-breaks won
- 84%
- Deciding sets won
- 53%
- Matches on record
- 595
KU
Kaichi Uchida
Japan · ATP- Ranking
- #386 (↑)
- Ranking points
- 137
- Age
- 32 (23 Aug 1994)
- Plays
- Right-handed, two-handed backhand
- Career high
- #147
- 2026 win–loss
- 10–27
- On hard
- 10–22
- 2026 titles
- 0
- Elo rating
- 1280 (hard 1259)
- Tie-breaks won
- 86%
- Deciding sets won
- 50%
- Matches on record
- 817
SportsLife view
Ranking, Elo and form side by sideEdgeIlya Ivashkaahead in 5 of 6 measures
Ilya IvashkaKaichi Uchida
#237Ranking#386
1571Elo rating1280
1548Elo on hard1259
55%2025 win rate27%
84%Tie-breaks won86%
53%Deciding sets won50%
Figures from the players' records: current ranking, Elo rating, this season's win rate, tie-breaks and deciding sets. No win-probability model is applied.