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ATP Tokyo Wednesday, 30 September 2026

Rei Sakamoto vs Matteo Arnaldi – ATP Tokyo, 30 Sep 2026

Rei Sakamoto Ranked No. 137
09:30 Wed 30 Sep · not before 09:30
Matteo Arnaldi Ranked No. 37
SurfaceHard FormatBest of 3 DrawSingles Scheduled30 Sep · 09:30 BST TourATP

SportsLife forecast

Win probability
Rei Sakamoto 20% Rei Sakamoto
Our pick Matteo Arnaldi 80% Matteo Arnaldi

Our pick Matteo Arnaldi Medium confidence

  • Arnaldi is ranked 37 with 1336 points, far above Sakamoto at 137 with 423 points.
  • Arnaldi is 25 and more experienced than 20-year-old Sakamoto.
  • Both are right-handed and the match is on outdoor hard court, a neutral surface.

Estimated by the SportsLife model from the players' rankings, season records, surface results, Elo ratings and tie-break and deciding-set rates. Not betting advice.

Players

RS

Rei Sakamoto

Japan · ATP
Ranking
#137 (↑)
Ranking points
423
Age
20 (24 Jun 2006)
Plays
Right-handed
MA

Matteo Arnaldi

Italy · ATP
Ranking
#37
Ranking points
1,336
Age
25 (22 Feb 2001)
Plays
Right-handed, two-handed backhand

SportsLife view

Ranking, Elo and form side by side

EdgeMatteo Arnaldiahead in 1 of 1 measures

Rei SakamotoMatteo Arnaldi
#137Ranking#37

Figures from the players' records: current ranking, Elo rating, this season's win rate, tie-breaks and deciding sets. No win-probability model is applied.