Skip to content
SportsLife.org.uk
Join
ATP Tokyo Thursday, 1 October 2026

Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex Michelsen – ATP Tokyo, 1 Oct 2026

Carlos Alcaraz Ranked No. 3
02:00 Thu 1 Oct · not before 02:00
Alex Michelsen Ranked No. 34
SurfaceHard FormatBest of 3 DrawSingles Scheduled1 Oct · 02:00 BST TourATP

SportsLife forecast

Win probability
Our pick Carlos Alcaraz 78% Carlos Alcaraz
Alex Michelsen 22% Alex Michelsen

Our pick Carlos Alcaraz Medium confidence

  • Alcaraz is ranked 3rd with 5060 points, far above Michelsen at 34th with 1460.
  • Alcaraz is 23 and right-handed, Michelsen is 22 and right-handed.
  • Hard court ATP Tokyo match, best of three sets, no indoor play.

Estimated by the SportsLife model from the players' rankings, season records, surface results, Elo ratings and tie-break and deciding-set rates. Not betting advice.

Players

Carlos Alcaraz

Spain · ATP
Ranking
#3
Ranking points
5,060
Age
23 (5 May 2003)
Plays
Right-handed
Full profile
AM

Alex Michelsen

United States · ATP
Ranking
#34 (↑)
Ranking points
1,460
Age
22 (25 Aug 2004)
Plays
Right-handed

SportsLife view

Ranking, Elo and form side by side

EdgeCarlos Alcarazahead in 1 of 1 measures

Carlos AlcarazAlex Michelsen
#3Ranking#34

Figures from the players' records: current ranking, Elo rating, this season's win rate, tie-breaks and deciding sets. No win-probability model is applied.