ATP Shanghai
Wednesday, 14 October 2026
Karen Khachanov vs Alex De Minaur – ATP Shanghai, 14 Oct 2026
SurfaceHard
FormatBest of 3
DrawSingles
Scheduled14 Oct · 03:00 BST
TourATP
SportsLife forecast
Win probability
38%
Karen Khachanov
38%
62%
Our pick Alex De Minaur Medium confidence
- De Minaur is ranked 9 vs Khachanov at 27
- De Minaur has higher Elo 1945 vs 1840 and hard Elo 1913 vs 1792
- De Minaur has better hard record 18-9 vs 11-10 and season 33-18 vs 20-18
Estimated by the SportsLife model from the players' rankings, season records, surface results, Elo ratings and tie-break and deciding-set rates. Not betting advice.
Players
KK
Karen Khachanov
Russia · ATP- Ranking
- #27 (↓)
- Ranking points
- 1,900
- Age
- 30 (21 May 1996)
- Plays
- Right-handed
- Career high
- #8
- 2026 win–loss
- 20–18
- On hard
- 11–10
- 2026 titles
- 0
- Elo rating
- 1840 (hard 1792)
- Tie-breaks won
- 79%
- Deciding sets won
- 52%
- Matches on record
- 739
Alex De Minaur
Australia · ATP- Ranking
- #9 (↑)
- Ranking points
- 3,300
- Age
- 27 (17 Feb 1999)
- Plays
- Right-handed
- Career high
- #6
- 2026 win–loss
- 33–18
- On hard
- 18–9
- 2026 titles
- 1
- Elo rating
- 1945 (hard 1913)
- Tie-breaks won
- 80%
- Deciding sets won
- 57%
- Matches on record
- 671
SportsLife view
Ranking, Elo and form side by sideEdgeAlex De Minaurahead in 6 of 6 measures
Karen KhachanovAlex De Minaur
#27Ranking#9
1840Elo rating1945
1792Elo on hard1913
53%2026 win rate65%
79%Tie-breaks won80%
52%Deciding sets won57%
Figures from the players' records: current ranking, Elo rating, this season's win rate, tie-breaks and deciding sets. No win-probability model is applied.