Skip to content
ATP Shanghai Monday, 12 October 2026

Carlos Alcaraz vs Zizou Bergs – ATP Shanghai, 12 Oct 2026

Carlos Alcaraz Ranked No. 3
11:00 Mon 12 Oct · not before 11:00
Zizou Bergs Ranked No. 39
SurfaceHard FormatBest of 3 DrawSingles Scheduled12 Oct · 11:00 BST TourATP

SportsLife forecast

Win probability
Our pick Carlos Alcaraz 88% Carlos Alcaraz
Zizou Bergs 12% Zizou Bergs

Our pick Carlos Alcaraz High confidence

  • Alcaraz is ranked 3rd, Bergs 39th
  • Alcaraz hard-court record 22-3, Bergs 10-12
  • Alcaraz Elo 2141 vs Bergs 1782

Estimated by the SportsLife model from the players' rankings, season records, surface results, Elo ratings and tie-break and deciding-set rates. Not betting advice.

Players

Carlos Alcaraz

Spain · ATP
Ranking
#3
Ranking points
5,260
Age
23 (5 May 2003)
Plays
Right-handed
2026 win–loss
27–4
On hard
22–3
2026 titles
2
Elo rating
2141 (hard 2071)
Tie-breaks won
74%
Deciding sets won
72%
Matches on record
464
Full profile
ZB

Zizou Bergs

Belgium · ATP
Ranking
#39 (↓)
Ranking points
1,320
Age
27 (3 Jun 1999)
Plays
Right-handed, two-handed backhand
Career high
#33
2026 win–loss
24–22
On hard
10–12
2026 titles
1
Elo rating
1782 (hard 1726)
Tie-breaks won
81%
Deciding sets won
54%
Matches on record
562

SportsLife view

Ranking, Elo and form side by side

EdgeCarlos Alcarazahead in 5 of 6 measures

Carlos AlcarazZizou Bergs
#3Ranking#39
2141Elo rating1782
2071Elo on hard1726
87%2026 win rate52%
74%Tie-breaks won81%
72%Deciding sets won54%

Figures from the players' records: current ranking, Elo rating, this season's win rate, tie-breaks and deciding sets. No win-probability model is applied.