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ATP Beijing Thursday, 1 October 2026

Sebastián Báez vs Juncheng Shang – ATP Beijing, 1 Oct 2026

Sebastián Báez Ranked No. 51
04:00 Thu 1 Oct · not before 04:00
Juncheng Shang Ranked No. 250
SurfaceHard FormatBest of 3 DrawSingles Scheduled1 Oct · 04:00 BST TourATP

SportsLife forecast

Win probability
Our pick Sebastián Báez 72% Sebastián Báez
Juncheng Shang 28% Juncheng Shang

Our pick Sebastián Báez Medium confidence

  • Báez is ranked 51 with 1044 points, far above Shang at 250 with 220 points.
  • Báez is 25 years old and Shang is 21, a small age edge to Báez.
  • Hard court is the surface, but no surface records are given for either player.

Estimated by the SportsLife model from the players' rankings, season records, surface results, Elo ratings and tie-break and deciding-set rates. Not betting advice.

Players

SB

Sebastián Báez

Argentina · ATP
Ranking
#51 (↓)
Ranking points
1,044
Age
25 (28 Dec 2000)
Plays
Right-handed, two-handed backhand
Career high
#18
2026 win–loss
33–23
On hard
16–9
2026 titles
1
Elo rating
1767 (hard 1719)
Tie-breaks won
79%
Deciding sets won
55%
Matches on record
484
JS

Juncheng Shang

China · ATP
Ranking
#250 (↓)
Ranking points
220
Age
21 (2 Feb 2005)
Plays
Left-handed, two-handed backhand
Career high
#47
2026 win–loss
5–8
On hard
5–8
2026 titles
0
Elo rating
1718 (hard 1658)
Tie-breaks won
76%
Deciding sets won
62%
Matches on record
230

SportsLife view

Ranking, Elo and form side by side

EdgeSebastián Báezahead in 5 of 6 measures

Sebastián BáezJuncheng Shang
#51Ranking#250
1767Elo rating1718
1719Elo on hard1658
59%2026 win rate38%
79%Tie-breaks won76%
55%Deciding sets won62%

Figures from the players' records: current ranking, Elo rating, this season's win rate, tie-breaks and deciding sets. No win-probability model is applied.