ATP Beijing
Thursday, 1 October 2026
Mariano Navone vs Alex De Minaur – ATP Beijing, 1 Oct 2026
SurfaceHard
FormatBest of 3
DrawSingles
Scheduled1 Oct · 04:00 BST
TourATP
SportsLife forecast
Win probability
20%
Mariano Navone
20%
80%
Our pick Alex De Minaur Medium confidence
- De Minaur is ranked 10th with 3150 points, far above Navone at 45th with 1155 points.
- De Minaur is 27 years old and Navone is 25, a small age difference.
- The match is on hard court, but no surface-specific records are given for either player.
Estimated by the SportsLife model from the players' rankings, season records, surface results, Elo ratings and tie-break and deciding-set rates. Not betting advice.
Players
MN
Mariano Navone
Argentina · ATP- Ranking
- #45 (↑)
- Ranking points
- 1,155
- Age
- 25 (27 Feb 2001)
- Plays
- Right-handed
- Career high
- #29
- 2026 win–loss
- 14–11
- On hard
- 6–5
- 2026 titles
- 2
- Elo rating
- 1821 (hard 1741)
- Tie-breaks won
- 82%
- Deciding sets won
- 50%
- Matches on record
- 392
Alex De Minaur
Australia · ATP- Ranking
- #10 (↓)
- Ranking points
- 3,150
- Age
- 27 (17 Feb 1999)
- Plays
- Right-handed
- Career high
- #6
- 2026 win–loss
- 33–18
- On hard
- 18–9
- 2026 titles
- 1
- Elo rating
- 1945 (hard 1913)
- Tie-breaks won
- 80%
- Deciding sets won
- 57%
- Matches on record
- 671
SportsLife view
Ranking, Elo and form side by sideEdgeAlex De Minaurahead in 5 of 6 measures
Mariano NavoneAlex De Minaur
#45Ranking#10
1821Elo rating1945
1741Elo on hard1913
56%2026 win rate65%
82%Tie-breaks won80%
50%Deciding sets won57%
Figures from the players' records: current ranking, Elo rating, this season's win rate, tie-breaks and deciding sets. No win-probability model is applied.