WTA Tokyo
Tuesday, 27 October 2026
Jasmine Paolini vs Naomi Osaka – WTA Tokyo, 27 Oct 2026
SurfaceHard · indoor
FormatBest of 3
DrawSingles
Scheduled27 Oct · 08:00 GMT
TourWTA
SportsLife forecast
Win probability
30%
Jasmine Paolini
30%
70%
Our pick Naomi Osaka Medium confidence
- Osaka is ranked 19 with 2297 points vs Paolini at 35 with 1453 points
- Osaka has a higher Elo (2021) and hard-court Elo (1957) than Paolini (1826, 1781)
- Osaka's 2026 season record is only 1-1, so form evidence is thin
Estimated by the SportsLife model from the players' rankings, season records, surface results, Elo ratings and tie-break and deciding-set rates. Not betting advice.
Players
Jasmine Paolini
Italy · WTA- Ranking
- #35 (↑)
- Ranking points
- 1,453
- Age
- 30 (4 Jan 1996)
- Plays
- Right-handed, two-handed backhand
- Career high
- #4
- 2026 win–loss
- 19–16
- On hard
- 10–9
- 2026 titles
- 0
- Elo rating
- 1826 (hard 1781)
- Tie-breaks won
- 74%
- Deciding sets won
- 67%
- Matches on record
- 90
Naomi Osaka
Japan · WTA- Ranking
- #19 (↑)
- Ranking points
- 2,297
- Age
- 29 (16 Oct 1997)
- Career high
- #1
- 2026 win–loss
- 1–1
- On hard
- 1–1
- 2026 titles
- 0
- Elo rating
- 2021 (hard 1957)
- Tie-breaks won
- 77%
- Deciding sets won
- 63%
- Matches on record
- 67
SportsLife view
Ranking, Elo and form side by sideEdgeNaomi Osakaahead in 4 of 5 measures
Jasmine PaoliniNaomi Osaka
#35Ranking#19
1826Elo rating2021
1781Elo on hard1957
74%Tie-breaks won77%
67%Deciding sets won63%
Figures from the players' records: current ranking, Elo rating, this season's win rate, tie-breaks and deciding sets. No win-probability model is applied.