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Challenger Guangzhou Friday, 23 October 2026

Tristan Schoolkate vs Keegan Smith – Challenger Guangzhou, 23 Oct 2026

Tristan Schoolkate Ranked No. 169
07:00 Fri 23 Oct · not before 07:00
Keegan Smith Ranked No. 196
SurfaceHard FormatBest of 3 DrawSingles Scheduled23 Oct · 07:00 BST TourCHALLENGER

SportsLife forecast

Win probability
Our pick Tristan Schoolkate 68% Tristan Schoolkate
Keegan Smith 32% Keegan Smith

Our pick Tristan Schoolkate Medium confidence

  • Schoolkate is ranked 169, higher than Smith at 196
  • Schoolkate has a stronger Elo of 1577 versus Smith's 1451
  • Schoolkate's hard-court Elo of 1546 also leads Smith's 1411

Estimated by the SportsLife model from the players' rankings, season records, surface results, Elo ratings and tie-break and deciding-set rates. Not betting advice.

Players

TS

Tristan Schoolkate

Australia · ATP
Ranking
#169 (↑)
Ranking points
341
Age
25 (26 Feb 2001)
Plays
Right-handed
Career high
#95
2026 win–loss
32–27
On hard
22–20
2026 titles
0
Elo rating
1577 (hard 1546)
Tie-breaks won
80%
Deciding sets won
58%
Matches on record
389
KS

Keegan Smith

United States · ATP
Ranking
#196 (↓)
Ranking points
299
Age
28 (23 Jun 1998)
Plays
Right-handed
Career high
#245
2026 win–loss
39–27
On hard
31–21
2026 titles
2
Elo rating
1451 (hard 1411)
Tie-breaks won
79%
Deciding sets won
54%
Matches on record
348

SportsLife view

Ranking, Elo and form side by side

EdgeTristan Schoolkateahead in 5 of 6 measures

Tristan SchoolkateKeegan Smith
#169Ranking#196
1577Elo rating1451
1546Elo on hard1411
54%2026 win rate59%
80%Tie-breaks won79%
58%Deciding sets won54%

Figures from the players' records: current ranking, Elo rating, this season's win rate, tie-breaks and deciding sets. No win-probability model is applied.