ATP Tokyo
Friday, 2 October 2026
Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Fils – ATP Tokyo, 2 Oct 2026
SurfaceHard
FormatBest of 3
DrawSingles
Scheduled2 Oct · 09:30 BST
TourATP
SportsLife forecast
Win probability
45%
Frances Tiafoe
45%
55%
Our pick Arthur Fils Low confidence
- Fils has higher Elo 2035 vs Tiafoe 1957
- Fils has higher hard-court Elo 1974 vs 1911
- Fils wins 61% of deciding sets vs Tiafoe 53%
Estimated by the SportsLife model from the players' rankings, season records, surface results, Elo ratings and tie-break and deciding-set rates. Not betting advice.
Players
Frances Tiafoe
United States · ATP- Ranking
- #8 (↑)
- Ranking points
- 3,380
- Age
- 28 (20 Jan 1998)
- Plays
- Right-handed
- Career high
- #10
- 2026 win–loss
- 42–17
- On hard
- 26–11
- 2026 titles
- 1
- Elo rating
- 1957 (hard 1911)
- Tie-breaks won
- 80%
- Deciding sets won
- 53%
- Matches on record
- 685
Arthur Fils
France · ATP- Ranking
- #9 (↑)
- Ranking points
- 3,150
- Age
- 22 (12 Jun 2004)
- Plays
- Right-handed
- Career high
- #14
- 2025 win–loss
- 22–11
- On hard
- 11–7
- 2025 titles
- 0
- Elo rating
- 2035 (hard 1974)
- Tie-breaks won
- 79%
- Deciding sets won
- 61%
- Matches on record
- 321
SportsLife view
Ranking, Elo and form side by sideFrances TiafoeArthur Fils
#8Ranking#9
1957Elo rating2035
1911Elo on hard1974
71%2026 win rate67%
80%Tie-breaks won79%
53%Deciding sets won61%
Figures from the players' records: current ranking, Elo rating, this season's win rate, tie-breaks and deciding sets. No win-probability model is applied.