ATP Shanghai
Thursday, 8 October 2026
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin – ATP Shanghai, 8 Oct 2026
Camilo Ugo Carabelli Ranked No. 77 · serving
1–1
2-6 6-2
Set 2
0 – 15
Ilia Simakin Ranked No. 154
SurfaceHard
FormatBest of 3
DrawSingles
Scheduled8 Oct · 05:10 BST
TourATP
Set by set
Updates every few minutes| Player | Set 1 | Set 2 | Points | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| Ilia Simakin | 6 | 2 | 15 | 1 |
SportsLife forecast
Win probability
42%
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Our pick
58%
Ilia Simakin
58%
Ilia Simakin
42%
58%
Our pick Ilia Simakin Medium confidence
- Simakin is 35-9 on hard this season while Carabelli is 3-9 on hard
- Simakin has a higher hard-court Elo (1675) than Carabelli (1582)
- Carabelli is ranked 77 versus Simakin at 154, but Simakin has a better season record
Estimated by the SportsLife model from the players' rankings, season records, surface results, Elo ratings and tie-break and deciding-set rates. Not betting advice.
Players
CUC
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Argentina · ATP- Ranking
- #77 (↓)
- Ranking points
- 770
- Age
- 27 (17 Jun 1999)
- Plays
- Right-handed
- Career high
- #43
- 2026 win–loss
- 21–22
- On hard
- 3–9
- 2026 titles
- 1
- Elo rating
- 1699 (hard 1582)
- Tie-breaks won
- 84%
- Deciding sets won
- 61%
- Matches on record
- 609
IS
Ilia Simakin
Russia · ATP- Ranking
- #154 (↑)
- Ranking points
- 366
- Age
- 22 (27 Oct 2003)
- Plays
- Right-handed
- Career high
- #214
- 2026 win–loss
- 38–17
- On hard
- 35–9
- 2026 titles
- 3
- Elo rating
- 1667 (hard 1675)
- Tie-breaks won
- 84%
- Deciding sets won
- 54%
- Matches on record
- 253
SportsLife view
Ranking, Elo and form side by sideEdgeCamilo Ugo Carabelliahead in 3 of 6 measures
Camilo Ugo CarabelliIlia Simakin
#77Ranking#154
1699Elo rating1667
1582Elo on hard1675
49%2026 win rate69%
84%Tie-breaks won84%
61%Deciding sets won54%
Figures from the players' records: current ranking, Elo rating, this season's win rate, tie-breaks and deciding sets. No win-probability model is applied.