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ATP Chengdu Tuesday, 22 September 2026

Pavel Kotov vs Luca Castelnuovo – ATP Chengdu, 22 Sep 2026

Pavel Kotov Ranked No. 188
07:30 Tue 22 Sep · not before 07:30
Luca Castelnuovo Ranked No. 376
SurfaceHard FormatBest of 3 DrawSingles Scheduled22 Sep · 07:30 BST TourATP

SportsLife forecast

Win probability
Our pick PK 78% Pavel Kotov
Luca Castelnuovo 22% Luca Castelnuovo

Our pick Pavel Kotov Medium confidence

  • Kotov is ranked 188, much higher than Castelnuovo at 376.
  • Kotov has a strong hard court record of 22-6 this season.
  • Kotov has won 78% of tiebreaks and 58% of deciding sets.

Estimated by the SportsLife model from the players' rankings, season records, surface results, Elo ratings and tie-break and deciding-set rates. Not betting advice.

Players

PK

Pavel Kotov

International · ATP
Ranking
#188 (↓)
Ranking points
301
Age
27 (18 Nov 1998)
Plays
Right-handed, two-handed backhand
Career high
#50
2026 win–loss
24–11
On hard
22–6
2026 titles
3
Elo rating
1592 (hard 1599)
Tie-breaks won
78%
Deciding sets won
58%
Matches on record
508
LC

Luca Castelnuovo

Switzerland
Ranking
#376 (↓)
Ranking points
134
Age
29 (29 Jan 1997)
Plays
Left-handed
2026 win–loss
26–20
On hard
24–14
2026 titles
1

SportsLife view

Ranking, Elo and form side by side

EdgePavel Kotovahead in 2 of 2 measures

Pavel KotovLuca Castelnuovo
#188Ranking#376
69%2026 win rate57%

Figures from the players' records: current ranking, Elo rating, this season's win rate, tie-breaks and deciding sets. No win-probability model is applied.